NEW ORLEANS, LA (WVUE) - An area of low pressure is bringing heavy rain and gusty winds to the Yucatan Peninsula and expected to move into the southern Gulf of Mexico. The center of circulation will stay over land through Monday. The National Hurricane Center is giving this disturbance a 50 percent chance of developing into a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours.
There is an upper low nearby that will make it difficult for a storm to develop, but it will bear watching once the circulation is back out over the water. We remain under the western edge of the Bermuda upper high. Right now even if it were to develop into a tropical system, the steering would lean more toward the southern Texas coast keeping most of the effects from this system to our west.
As this is a very weak area of disturbed weather there is more potential that it strays from the main steering than a more moderate system so we will still need to pay attention over the next couple of days. If the high weakens or the system manages to gain some strength we will have the potential for higher rain chances on Wednesday and Thursday.
A hurricane hunter flight is scheduled to investigate the area Sunday afternoon if necessary.