NEW ORLEANS, LA (WVUE) - The National Hurricane Center gives a 80 percent chance of development in the next 48 hours to a low pressure system bringing heavy rain and gale force wind to the Yucatan Peninsula and southern Gulf of Mexico.
The disturbance moved across the peninsula from Belize and the general area where we would look for a center will be moving out over the southern Gulf through this evening into early Monday morning. An upper level low is contributing to the stormy weather right now, but inhibiting tropical development. As the upper low moves on the environment is better suited to tropical development.
There is no closed center of circulation right now. Should the storm get more organized it's most likely that it will circulate around high pressure stretching from the western Atlantic into the center of the Gulf steering this system towards the Texas coast. This scenario brings very little impact to southeast Louisiana and the Mississippi Gulf Coast. A weaker storm gives more of an opportunity for moisture to spread east increasing rain chances Tuesday.