Isolated thunderstorms are expected across the area today, meaning that temperatures will have no problem reaching highs in the middle 90s.
At mid-day most locations were already approaching or exceeding the 90 degree mark and with very little shower activity the rain and clouds will not make a big impact in keeping temperatures down.
The trend continues into the weekend with the upper high pushing back east and settling over our surface high. The combination will make it difficult for convection to form with so much subsidence in the area. Plenty of sunshine and compression will help temperatures rise into the upper 90s with some areas approaching triple digits. Heat indices will definitely make the mark. It's likely we will see heat advisories and some broken records before the weekend is done.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is calling for a 90 percent likelihood of a below normal hurricane season. That's the highest confidence they have used since they began offering seasonal outlooks in 1998.
NOAA lowered the spring numbers slightly from 6-11 to 6-10 named storms with 1-4 becoming hurricanes down from 3-6 in May. They're also saying only 0-1 categorized as major, meaning a category 3 or more. In May the prediction was 0-2. Remember this already includes the 3 storms already in the books for this year: Ann along with Bill and Claudette from before the season.
The seasonal average is 12 storms with 6 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes. It is important to note that below normal does not mean there will not be a devastating storm. Remember it only takes one storm to cause problems. El Nino plays a big role in our lower than average hurricane season as the prevailing wind pattern creates lots of sheer across our fertile tropical regions.
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