After a nice break for a couple of days the air was noticeably more muggy Sunday. We also saw a few heavy thunderstorms especially across parts of the west bank in St. Charles and Jefferson parishes this afternoon. The more robust thunderstorm activity is being fueled by tropical moisture that settled back into the area over the last couple of days. While most stayed dried we are seeing a couple of pockets with more than inch of rain and plenty of lightning.
The increased rain chance will hang around through Sunday afternoon as well before a weak front gets close enough to have an impact. We won't see a strong system barrel through the region, but it will allow enough dry air to get close enough to take us back down to average rain coverage in the 30 to 40 percent range.
As we get into next week look for daily showers spawned by land sea breezes each afternoon and many dry hour in between. A front on tap for next weekend looks a bit more promising increasing rain chances for Saturday, but possibly making it far enough south to reap the benefits of some dry air.
Today is the climatological peak of hurricane season and while there are no named systems to speak of we do have a few areas of disturbed weather to watch. Invest 92 formed near the Florida Straits on Friday. It is in a high shear environment and any development will be slow to occur. It will not affect your weekend plans. There is another wave near the northern Leeward Islands that has a low chance for development. Right now it is north of Puerto Rico. A second wave in the Eastern Atlantic is the most promising. The National Hurricane Center gives it a 90% chance for development by early next week, but it is expected to move toward the Central Atlantic. Neither pose a threat to us at this time.
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