Bob Breck: Irma slowing down, still on track to FL - FOX 8, WVUE, fox8live.com, weather, app, news, saints

Bob Breck: Irma slowing down, still on track to FL

An aerial view of Hurricane Irma from the U.S. Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters (Source: Twitter) An aerial view of Hurricane Irma from the U.S. Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters (Source: Twitter)
NEW ORLEANS (WVUE) -

One thing I learned from watching the National Hurricane Center for 40+ years is they are VERY conservative in making any major changes in their forecast track.  

For the past day they have been nudging the track farther to the west with the latest now taking the center along the WEST coast of Florida. 

Her forward speed has slowed to 12 mph and that may indicate she is about to make the turn to the north.  

Satellite pictures (to me) are indicating Irma’s circulation will begin interacting with the northern coast of Cuba during the next 12-24 hours and that (I believe) will disrupt the circulation a little hopefully weakening her down to a Cat. 3.  

NHC doesn’t believe so as they keep her a Cat. 4. Regardless, she will stay a major hurricane. 

Here are my questions. 1) what happens if she keeps going westward into north Cuba?   2) What if she doesn’t make the turn until around 87 west longitude?   The models were in total agreement yesterday taking the center over Miami.  Now they’re all in agreement taking her towards Ft. Myers. 

Could they keep shifting farther to the west tomorrow? Maybe, but before you start thinking could this be a problem for us … remember we have a cold front that has pushed into the Gulf and westerly winds dominate the northern Gulf. 

IF Irma keeps going to the west and doesn’t make the turn until tomorrow, her center/eyewall could stay just off Florida’s west coast and then recurve back to the NE threatening Tampa Bay. 

This would take the strongest winds away from the Gold Coast. Minor changes can make huge differences. It’s still Florida’s storm for now, but areas east of Panama City should pay attention as this westward shift could bring some impacts to them Sunday & Monday.

Copyright 2017 WVUE. All rights reserved.

  • Trending StoriesTrending StoriesMore>>

  • Actress arrested in sex trafficking in 'guru to stars' case

    Actress arrested in sex trafficking in 'guru to stars' case

    Friday, April 20 2018 4:13 PM EDT2018-04-20 20:13:13 GMT
    Saturday, April 21 2018 6:54 AM EDT2018-04-21 10:54:50 GMT
    (Photo by Todd Williamson/Invision/AP, File). FILE - This June 26, 2012, file photo shows television actress Allison Mack at a party in Los Angeles. Federal prosecutors say television actress Allison Mack, from "Smallville" has been charged with sex tr...(Photo by Todd Williamson/Invision/AP, File). FILE - This June 26, 2012, file photo shows television actress Allison Mack at a party in Los Angeles. Federal prosecutors say television actress Allison Mack, from "Smallville" has been charged with sex tr...
    Federal prosecutors say a television actress best known for playing a young Superman's close friend has been charged with sex trafficking for helping recruit women to be slaves of a man who sold himself as a...more>>
    Federal prosecutors say a television actress best known for playing a young Superman's close friend has been charged with sex trafficking for helping recruit women to be slaves of a man who sold himself as a self-improvement guru.more>>
  • Judge accused of abusing, berating defendants

    Judge accused of abusing, berating defendants

    Saturday, April 21 2018 7:20 AM EDT2018-04-21 11:20:28 GMT
    Saturday, April 21 2018 7:30 AM EDT2018-04-21 11:30:55 GMT
    Judge Merrilee Ehrlich has stepped down after being accused of berating defendants. (Source: WSVN/CNN)Judge Merrilee Ehrlich has stepped down after being accused of berating defendants. (Source: WSVN/CNN)

    A judge accused of "aggressive and tyrannical" behavior has stepped down from the bench.

    more>>

    A judge accused of "aggressive and tyrannical" behavior has stepped down from the bench.

    more>>
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson delights high school girl with prom surprise

    Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson delights high school girl with prom surprise

    Friday, April 20 2018 5:35 PM EDT2018-04-20 21:35:23 GMT
    Friday, April 20 2018 5:35 PM EDT2018-04-20 21:35:23 GMT
    Katie Kelzenberg invited the Hollywood star to her prom next month. (Source: Vianney Le Caer/AP)Katie Kelzenberg invited the Hollywood star to her prom next month. (Source: Vianney Le Caer/AP)

    Katie Kelzenberg invited the Hollywood star to her prom next month.

    more>>

    Katie Kelzenberg invited the Hollywood star to her prom next month.

    more>>
Powered by Frankly