Exclusive Poll: Kennedy leads candidates in U.S. Senate race

Published: Oct. 20, 2016 at 8:43 PM CDT|Updated: Oct. 21, 2016 at 12:25 AM CDT
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(Source: FOX 8 | Raycom | Mason-Dixon Polling & Research)
(Source: FOX 8 | Raycom | Mason-Dixon Polling & Research)
(Source: FOX 8 | Raycom | Mason-Dixon Polling & Research)
(Source: FOX 8 | Raycom | Mason-Dixon Polling & Research)

NEW ORLEANS (WVUE) - A brand new poll in the U.S. Senate race puts State Treasurer John Kennedy in the lead with roughly two and half weeks until the election.

An exclusive FOX 8 | Raycom Media poll asked 625 registered voters in Louisiana who they would vote for if the primary election was held today. Nearly two dozen candidates are vying for U.S. Senator David Vitter's seat.

Approximately 24 percent said Republican State Treasurer John Kennedy, 19 percent said Democratic Public Service Commissioner Foster Campbell, and Caroline Fayard, a Democrat, got 12 percent.

"It should be no surprise, candidates who hold statewide positions or have run for statewide office are atop the pack. Name recognition is a huge factor, so it puts their starting point a lot higher," Political analyst Mike Sherman said.

Of the voters questioned, 11 percent and 10 percent respectively said they would vote for Republican Congressmen Charles Boustany and John Fleming. Five percent of those polled say they will support David Duke.

"David Duke has a very small, but dedicated following. He's polling at 5 percent, which is half of where he was last time he ran for office, so his base is shrinking. But with 5 percent, he's still there," Sherman said.

Almost 13 percent are still undecided.

Breaking down the numbers by four regions of the state, in the Metro New Orleans area, which includes 12 parishes, Kennedy (28 percent) and Campbell (24 percent) still lead the pack.

The state treasurer also has the support of most voters (31 percent) questioned in the Baton Rouge area, an area where Fayard does her best (22 percent), although it is not her home base.

:For Caroline Fayard to overtake Foster Campbell, she's gotta come out of the New Orleans area with huge numbers and a huge lead. She's still got more work to do, but there's lots of opportunity for growth," Sherman said.

Boustany, whose political base is the Lafayette area, outshines all the candidates in the south-central region with 38 percent support.

Fleming's highest showing of 16 percent comes from voters in his base - the northern part of the state. He is neck-and-neck with Campbell (15 percent) who also represents that area.

When it comes to the different demographics, most white voters questioned, 34 percent of them, said they would vote for Kennedy, while 41 percent of black voters said Campbell.

Statewide, a majority of men polled are leaning toward a Republican candidate, with Kennedy garnering 29 percent, followed by Campbell with 19.

And of likely female voters, Kennedy and Campbell both bring in 19 percent. Fayard, one of the only women in the race, gets 15 percent support among female voters.

The six candidates who got five percent or more support in the poll will debate on FOX 8 in New Orleans, WAFB in Baton Rouge, KPLC in Lake Charles and KSLA in Shreveport.

That is scheduled for Nov. 2.

As of Thursday, there are still 23 candidates in the crowded race. Here are the results for each candidate:

  • John Kennedy - Republican 24.2%
  • Foster Campbell - Democrat 18.9%
  • Caroline Fayard - Democrat 12.0%
  • Charles Boustany - Republican 11.4%
  • John Fleming - Republican 10.2%
  • David Duke - Republican 5.1%
  • Rob Maness - Republican 3.4%
  • Derrick Edwards - Democrat 0.5%
  • Gary Landrieu - Democrat 0.3%
  • MV “Vinny” Mendoza - Democrat 0.3%
  • Joshua Pellerin - Democrat 0.2%
  • Peter Williams - Democrat 0.2%
  • Beryl Billiot - Independent -
  • Joseph Cao - Republican -
  • Thomas Clements - Libertarian -
  • Donald “Crawdaddy” Crawford - Republican -
  • LeRoy Gilliam - Independent -
  • Troy Hebert - Independent -
  • William Robert “Bob” Lang, Jr - Other -
  • Kaitlin Marone - Independent -
  • Charles Marsala - Republican -
  • Abhay Patel - Republican -
  • Gregory Taylor, Jr - Other -
  • Arden Wells - Independent -
  • Undecided (NOT READ) 13.4%

The poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research.

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